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Election 2024 header

Battleground states straw poll gives Harris the edge

Surveyed professors at UC Riverside predict Kamala Harris will prevail in five of seven battleground states, according to a straw poll conducted by UCR’s news team beginning October 25. The poll considered the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The email survey was conducted...

By John Warren | October 30, 2024 | Social Science / Education
Election 2024 header

Is there a silver bullet among presidential predictions?

A polling surge following Kamala Harris's rise to the top of the Democratic ticket, and after the Democratic National Convention, has cooled, according to national presidential polls. Meanwhile, the "13 Keys" prognosticator has weighed in, predicting a Harris win. We asked UC Riverside polling and surveys expert Andy Crosby from...

By John Warren | September 10, 2024 | Social Science / Education
Election 2024 header

Polling expert says swing state dynamic is shifting

Political scientist and polling expert Andy Crosby continues to weigh in during the current presidential election cycle. This week, he writes about the impact on polls of Gov. Tim Walz as Kamala Harris's running mate, and looks at the changing swing states' landscape. National Results: Slight changes over time; race...

By UCR News | August 13, 2024 | Social Science / Education
Election 2024 header

Polling expert draws early conclusions from Harris vs. Trump

A couple weeks back, the 2024 presidential race was upended by the decision of President Joe Biden not to seek reelection. Since, political pundits have scrambled to assess the new Harris-Trump dynamic.

By John Warren | July 30, 2024 | Social Science / Education
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