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Most political polls for the 2024 presidential election saw a close race in the electoral college, and a resounding popular-vote victory for Democrat Kamala Harris. Trump won the electoral college 312 to 226, and the popular vote by more than three million votes. We asked polling and survey expert Andy...

Surveyed professors at UC Riverside predict Kamala Harris will prevail in five of seven battleground states, according to a straw poll conducted by UCR’s news team beginning October 25. The poll considered the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The email survey was conducted...

UCR expert Andy Crosby says the polls show swing states divided between Harris and Trump, but within the margin of error.

Shaun Bowler, professor of political science, and Andy Crosby, an assistant professor of teaching in the School of Public Policy, weigh in on how the plethora of state abortion rights initiatives may affect the presidential election.

A polling surge following Kamala Harris's rise to the top of the Democratic ticket, and after the Democratic National Convention, has cooled, according to national presidential polls. Meanwhile, the "13 Keys" prognosticator has weighed in, predicting a Harris win. We asked UC Riverside polling and surveys expert Andy Crosby from...

Prior to the Sept. 10 presidential debate, UC Riverside faculty weigh in on various topics including the now-infamous ‘childless cat ladies’ reference.

Political scientist and polling expert Andy Crosby continues to weigh in during the current presidential election cycle. This week, he writes about the impact on polls of Gov. Tim Walz as Kamala Harris's running mate, and looks at the changing swing states' landscape. National Results: Slight changes over time; race...

A couple weeks back, the 2024 presidential race was upended by the decision of President Joe Biden not to seek reelection. Since, political pundits have scrambled to assess the new Harris-Trump dynamic.

A whirlwind week in which Joe Biden bowed out of the 2024 presidential race and Kamala Harris became the Democrats' heir apparent finds us with little time to assess the new election paradigm. This week, we discussed the dynamics with two UCR experts. First, we speak with Ugo Antonio Troiano...

There is a whole new dynamic that pundits, campaign managers, and voters will be negotiating in American politics, and the starting gun has already been fired. That is, the complicated — so says the research — dynamic of how voters regard multiracial candidates. On the national stage, it began with...

Universally, UC Riverside faculty members noted the historic significance of U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris as Joe Biden’s vice-presidential running mate. Many felt the decision was the right one — and some offered qualifiers in their assessment of her selection. In the moments following Biden’s announcement on Aug. 11, UCR political...